Makimoto’s Wave
In response to a question to name a specific application for a particular memory technology, I responded that the value proposition of any technology is related to the specific end application and that therefore the market scenario had to be first identified.
One possible scenario is that nothing changes from today in which existing applications were designed with the specific cost/performance attributes of NAND and DRAM in mind. I agree with the argument that it will be difficult for new memory technologies to compete with NAND and DRAM in existing applications assumes that technology challenges of reducing storage mass for memory cells alone not be enough to sustain high volume growth for new and emerging technologies. Hard-working and clever engineers seem to have gotten us past one insurmountable barrier after another.
Another possible scenario begins with the market competition of SoC and SiP as single-core processors take on a new role and with the increasing challenges of maintaining traditional declines in the cost per bit of established memory technologies. To me, these are indications of fundamental shifts in what can be accomplished by semiconductor technologies—as well as shifts in what semiconductor technologies are expected to accomplish.
There are two fundamental tenets of which I am a strong believer. The first is Moore’s Law. While I still hold it to be more of an accepted guideline for memory suppliers simply because charge storage in a constantly shrinking mass is contrary to the performance advantages of energy moving through logic circuitry at the speed of light, nevertheless Moore’s Law has guided general semiconductor trends because it has achieved the anticipated increases in performance in logic circuitry.
The other tenet I believe to be significant is Makimoto’s Wave (first published in 1991), which predicts the ebb and flow between specialization and generalization of product development.
Source: Electronics Weekly, Jan. 1991/Dr. T. Makimoto TechnoVision
From one interpretation of Dr. Tsugio Makimoto’s theory: “When large numbers of new technologies such as devices, architectures and software appear, the semiconductor industry as a whole moves toward standardization. Aspects such as the need for product differentiation and added value then appear, and the imbalance between supply and demand suppresses the large swinging of the pendulum. In the other direction, progress in design automation and advances in technologies occur, shifting the semiconductor industry to customization.”
Today’s technology challenges for FPGA’s and charge storage memories, the growing commoditization of general-purpose single-core processors in keeping with Christensen’s “Innovator’s Dilemma,” increasing focus on So. by the semiconductor industry’s largest company, and the rise of flexible packaging technologies supporting multiple die are all aligned with a general shift toward customized solutions that is consistent with Dr. Makimoto’s observations of semiconductor trends made almost 20 years ago.
This long and winding road leads me to believe that we are approaching a new wave of customized solutions concurrent with the increased complexity of traditional charge storage memory technologies. I surmise that the convergence of these two trends will lead to a richer and broader set of target applications for memory technologies than we have seen in the previous PC-driven cycle of memory technology development. We are shifting toward a wider range of target applications for memory technologies, which in turn will likely improve the value proposition of the growing set of new memory technologies, and therein lies the future market opportunities for new and emerging memory technologies, new packaging concepts, and new logic architectures.
Featured Video
Introduction to the UNIO EEPROM Family Part 1 of 2
When small size or I/O resources on the microcontroller are a concern and non-volatile memory is required, the UNI/O EEPROM Family is another option. This seminar begins with a brief overview of the serial buses used in today's mainstream EEPROMs, followed by a comparison of the new UNI/O Bus protocol. Since this new bus only uses a single I/O port for communication, it gives engineers another option for miniaturization and lower system costs. As the seminar progresses, the main features of this new memory are shown along with the advanced features never before seen in a single EEPROM device. Finally, there is a discussion on an easy way to evaluate UNI/O EEPROMs using existing customer hardware and Microchip's software drivers.
The technology here is just
The technology here is just amazing to use. You will be able to get so much from it. The future looks very bright using this. Keep up the good work. Omega 3
Re
Agree with Dr. Makimoto’s observations of semiconductor trends made almost 20 years ago.mensagens de aniversario
Just stumbled across your
Just stumbled across your blog and was instantly amazed with all the useful information that is on it. Great post, just what i was looking for and i am looking forward to reading your other posts soon!
Kredit mit Sofortzusage von kreditvergleich24.ch
Excellent and decent post. I
Excellent and decent post. I have found much informative, what I was exactly searching for. Thanks for such a post and please keep it up.
Bovik
Outstanding piece of work you
Outstanding piece of work you have done. This type of post is rarely found. This site has proved its metals in the way of giving extra ordinary information.
http://www.skia.com/
Being able to find this blog
Being able to find this blog seems like a success for me as I have been looking for something interesting to read these days...-)
pandoras box vin dicarlo
http://www.ocrealestatelistings.com/
Nice discussion here,you are doing a great job. i was looking for this information. i found it on your page it's really amazing. I like that information. I am sure that these are your own views. They are really awsome. You are really fantastic. thanks
Great information, I’ve been
Great information, I’ve been reading about this topic for one week now for my exams in school and thank God I found it here in your blog. I had a great time reading this .
Shopping Donna
Nice discussion here,you are
Nice discussion here,you are doing a great job. i was looking for this information. i found it on your page it's really amazing. I like that information. I am sure that these are your own views. They are really awsome. You are really fantastic. thanks
Click here
stumbled across your blog and
stumbled across your blog and was instantly amazed with all the useful information that is on it. Great post, just what i was looking for and i am looking forward to reading your other posts soon
garden greenhouses
Great blog article about this
Great blog article about this topic,I have been lately in your blog once or twice now.I just wanted to say my thanks for the information provided.
legal steroids
Just stumbled across your
Just stumbled across your blog and was instantly amazed with all the useful information that is on it. Great post, just what i was looking for and i am looking forward to reading your other posts soon!
I want to write a quick note to express my thanks. I’m really impressed by a blog unique and perfectly chosen and organizedcompare car insurance
Your site is good Actually, i
Your site is good Actually, i have seen your post and that was very informative and very entertaining for me. Thanks for posting Such a post. I should recommend your site to my friends. Cheers.
top HCG drops
Excellent and decent post. I
Excellent and decent post. I have found much informative, what I was exactly searching for. Thanks for such a post and please keep it up.
cars for scrap
Just stumbled across your
Just stumbled across your blog and was instantly amazed with all the useful information that is on it. Great post, just what i was looking for and i am looking forward to reading your other posts soon!
I want to write a quick note to express my thanks. I’m really impressed by a blog unique and perfectly chosen and organized!Joey Pellet
Nice information, valuable
Nice information, valuable and excellent design, as share good stuff with good ideas and concepts, lots of great information and inspiration, both of which I need, thanks to offer such a helpful information here.online mastering
Nice information, valuable
Nice information, valuable and excellent design, as share good stuff with good ideas and concepts, lots of great information and inspiration, both of which I need, thanks to offer such a helpful information here.Royalty Free Heaven
Excellent and decent post. I
Excellent and decent post. I have found much informative, what I was exactly searching for. Thanks for such post and please keep it up.
new zealand domain names
Really good read for me, Must
Really good read for me, Must admit that you are one of the best bloggers I ever saw.Thanks for posting this informative article.http://towelracked.com/hand-towel-racks/
Law has guided general
Law has guided general semiconductor trends because it has achieved the anticipated increases in performance in logic circuitry.3m privacy filter
To me, these are indications
To me, these are indications of fundamental shifts in what can be accomplished by semiconductor technologieslettering stencils uk
Really loved reading your
Really loved reading your blog. It was very well authored and easy to undertand. Unlike additional blogs I have read which are really not tht good. I also found your posts very interesting. In fact after reading, I had to go show it to my friend and he ejoyed it as well
the best games here
Great stuff of your stuff,
Great stuff of your stuff, man. I’ve read your stuff before and you’re too awesome. I enjoy what you’ve got here, love what you’re saying and exactly how you say it. You create it entertaining but you just seem to ensure that is stays smart. I can’t wait to see more of your stuff. This is really a fantastic blog.
cool games for iPHONE
To me, these are indications
To me, these are indications of fundamental shifts in what can be accomplished by semiconductor technologiesdymo labels 99012
Working on the given topic is
Working on the given topic is really a difficult task but your this tutorial made it easy for me to handle it without any problem. If anyone seeking information then this blog is the best place for him as it has quality content for your required information. Thanks for sharing.
Richard
This is just the information
This is just the information I am finding everywhere.Me suzuki cars and my friend were arguing about an issue similar to this! Now I know Toyota Auris that I was right.Thanks for the information you post. I just subscribe your blog. This is a nice blog.
They are entering into these
They are entering into these risk arrangements with Providers to “encourage quality and hold providers accountable.” EXGF
Hi
I enjoy what you’ve got here, love what you’re saying and exactly how you say it. You create it entertaining but you just seem to ensure that is stays smart. it has quality content for your required information. Thanks for sharing. exam messages l get sms messages
They also built in annual
They also built in annual escalators into their contracts that are well above CPI. compare and contrast essay format
Hello, i am not accustomed to
Hello, i am not accustomed to passing comments on discussions, but i am quite astounded by this site, so i will definitely visit again pemutih gigi
You're so cool! I don't think
You're so cool! I don't think I've read anything like this before. So good to find somebody with some original thoughts on this subject. Thanks suplemen peninggi badan
Good
I am just so done with finding junk via the internet, eventually a well produced and unified submit that's really about the subject I am enthusiastic about.
Positive site, where did u
Positive site, where did u come up with the information on this posting?I have read a few of the articles on your website now, and I really like your style. Thanks a million and please keep up the effective work.
toko sepatu online
Hi Friends!
I really like this site. nice post. Great work!
vancouver personal training
Hi meet
My spouse and i constantly come across a new challenge & diverse in this article. This is exactly what I was looking for. Thanks for sharing this great article! That is very interesting Smile I love reading and I am always searching for informative information like this!
florist semarang
Interesting Post
Your article is very nice and gave us an important and interesting information. Hopefully you can make an interesting article that I would often visit to read your article.
rental mobil semarang
Hii
Hey, I love to visit on this blog.Thank you for the information, very interesting article and quality. This blog content is very attractive, high-quality and highly reliable information. I was really happy and interested in this article!
melia propolis
You're so cool! I don't think
You're so cool! I don't think I've read anything like this before. So good to find somebody with some original thoughts on this subject. Thanks for starting this up. - Alat Tes Darah
HI
This issue was also present on the Nokia N95. Fortunately, we were able to work around this dilemma with our implementation. However, this could be an issue for other implementations
Best Bookmarks
HI
Everything is very open and very clear explanation of issues. It contains truly information. Your website is very useful. Thanks for sharing
Social Bookmarks
HI
I am really impressed by this blog!Very clear explanation of issues is given and it is open to everyone
hdmi switch
Halooo
This is exactly what I was looking for. Thanks for sharing this great article! That is very interesting Smile I love reading and I am always searching for informative information like this! - bag organizer D'renbellony
HI
i am so glad to hear this. without religion, everyone would be a bunch of lost puppies!
SEO Bookmarks
HI
This is nice post which I was awaiting for such an article and I have gained some useful information from this site. Thanks for sharing this information.I just wanted to leave a comment as a token of appreciation
HI
Fortunately, we were able to work around this dilemma with our implementation. However, this could be an issue for other implementations
free bingo games
I never read such beautiful
I never read such beautiful article before. Hello,I love reading through your blog, Dell has recently updated its Inspiron range of laptops, I am happy to found such useful and interesting post which is written in well maner. - ultraceuticals
This one is enlightened blog
This one is enlightened blog post. Thanks a lot for sharing your valuable views through this blog. I bared so recurrent fascinating stuff in blog. Alat Kesehatan
types of bankruptcy
I do believe youve built a number of really stimulating components. A small number persons would certainly seriously check this out and the choice of only does indeed. I'm just in fact astounded that there's a great deal of more knowledge about this particular theme this were found out and you obtained it therefore proficiently, with all the substantially group.Thanks
types of bankruptcy
Wonderful being going to your
Wonderful being going to your blog once again, After examine a few of the blog posts on your web site now, I'm not going to lie, I'm really impressed. Excellent post. I was checking continuously this blog and I'm impressed! - toko tas branded online
I like what I see so i am
I like what I see so i am just following you. Look forward to exploring your web page repeatedly. My spouse and I stumbled over here coming from a different website and thought I should check things out. - toko sepatu online
Post new comment